Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders odds, picks and predictions

Two of the hottest under-the-radar teams in the NFL meet when the Minnesota Vikings (6-1) are looking to win their 5th game in a row when they hit the road to face the Washington Commanders (4-4) – winner of the 3rd consecutive. Kickoff is 1 p.m. Sunday at FedEx Field (FOX). Below we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Vikings vs. Commanders oddsand call our expert NFL picks and predictions.

Despite being 6-1 and split from the pack in the NFC North, the Vikings are getting a lot of national attention. They have won 5 games in a row – all 1-score games as the Vikings find a way to put things together late to pick up wins. They also acquired TE TJ Hockenson at the trade deadline, and he should provide another element for this infraction.

After a 1-4 start, the Commanders have won 3 straight, including an upset 23-21 win over Green Bay in their last home game. With winning streaks on the line, both teams have a lot to play for as they look to solidify their chances of making the playoffs.

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Vikings alongside commanders

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; to access USA TODAY sports betting hub for sports scores and odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Vikings -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Commanders +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Vikings -3.5 (-101) | Commanders +3.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 43.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Vikings at Commanders key injuries


  • DT Dalvin Tomlinson (calf) outside
  • BC Cameron Dantzler (neck) questionable


  • WR Jahan Dotson (hamstrings) out
  • KG Cole Holcomb (foot) outside
  • KG david mayo (hamstrings) out
  • RB JD McKissic (neck) out

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Vikings at Commanders picks and predictions


Vikings 27, Commanders 20



The Vikings find ways to win games and have managed the best teams they’ve faced all season (their only loss is to the Eagles 8-0). The ROI is a bit high, so many will likely avoid this bet, but getting 3.5 insurance points may be enough to get punters biting this week. Given my prediction, I would pass that up and bet the spread, which is much more favorable to the Vikings.

Against the spread

TAKE THE VIKINGS -3.5 (-101)

Minnesota has won 5 straight 1-score games against more skilled teams than the Commanders, including beating Miami and Arizona by 8 points each in their last 2 games.

The Vikings have sometimes been turned off only to allow teams to resume games (see the Bears game when a 21-0 Vikings lead quickly turned into a 22-21 deficit before sealing the deal with a late touchdown).

The Vikings have more talent on both sides of the ball and while they don’t consistently make 4 quality quarterbacks in a game, they’re not 6-1 by chance.

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It’s difficult because commanders don’t score a lot of points. They’ve scored 17 points or less in 5 of the last 6 games, but the Vikings defense has its own share of issues, especially in the secondary.

Minnesota has 22 or more points in 5 of its last 6 games, and even if the defense limits Washington to its standard 17 points, it will only take the Vikings 27 points to reach the Over. It looks like another game where Minnesota takes the lead and tries to hold on to a 6th straight win.

It may take until late in the match to reach the Over, but that’s the game – despite the betting lines indicating that the game should reach the Under. That’s not what Minnesota tends to do.

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