NFL.com names Javonte Williams among top 10 RBs exceeding expectations
Two weeks into the regular season, NFL.com’s Nick Shook evaluated the league’s top rushers, selecting the top 10 who exceeded expectations in 2021.
âIn this piece, I take a look at players who excel at overcoming unfavorable circumstances to pick up tough yards – yards above expectations,â Shook wrote. “We will use Next Gen Stats rushing yards versus expected metric to determine who is better.”
Broncos running back Javonte Williams rounds the list at No.10, joining a host of talented rushers who excel at picking up yards after contact. Williams is the only returning rookie to make the cut.
âWilliams was in a close race with Dalvin Cook and Elijah Mitchell for the last spot on this list, but after a lot of twists and turns and math he gets the nod due to a few key statistical differences,â Shook wrote. “Williams averages slightly less rush yards than expected per run than Mitchell (+0.50 to +0.53), and he has fewer total rush yards than Cook (+88 to +93), but he has them. outperformed significantly in a key category. Williams has won seven first downs compared to expectations this season, seven more than Mitchell and six more than Cook. He also wins RYOE on 36% of his attempts, slightly better than the scores of Mitchell and Cook. ”
Williams has also passed most of the league’s running backs in another area.
“And he’s not just a tyrant between tackles – Williams won +5 first tries above expectations on rushes outside of tackles, which is tied with Tony Pollard for fifth best score in the league. among the RBs, âShook wrote. “Just wait until it becomes a real feature in Denver.”