NFL Week 4 umpire betting statistics and trends
We saw some of the betting stats and trends come true in NFL Week 3. In particular, a few totals which I will highlight below. Additionally, there are a few umpires who are on a strong trend against the spread. I’ll highlight these umpires and give some advice. Let me dive right into the NFL Week 4 umpire betting statistics and trends report! Again, keep in mind to use it as a handicap tool and not just base your choices on
Ron Torbert continues his momentum for Under bettors. In the last 17 regular season games, Torbert is now 13-4 against the Under with an average points scored of 38.5. In fact, this season, the matches refereed by Torbert are a perfect 3-0 against the Under with an average combined score of 35 points per game. In Week 4, Torbert and his team are assigned to the Buffalo Bills hosting the Houston Texans game.
Unlike Torbert, Brad Rogers had a scorching start to the Over. Rogers in week three was assigned to the Monday night football game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Dallas Cowboys. The total flew over the total of 51.5 points. In fact, going back to last season, Brad Rogers is now 13-1 over the last 14 regular season games! This is a 93% trend. A small sample size for sure. However, since I started following these trends and statistics of NFL betting referees, this trend is by far the most profitable! Brad Rogers is assigned to the New York Giants and New Orleans Saints showdown in the Saints’ home opener.
Shawn Hochuli continues his tendency to favor road teams. As of last season, road teams were 9-3-1 ATS in matches refereed by Shawn Hochuli. This season, Hochuli continues the trend of road teams. In fact, the road teams are a perfect 3-0 against the spread. As a result, in the last 16 regular season games, road teams are 12-3-1 ATS.
It’s a trend I’m definitely watching. I’m also curious if Hochuli is awarded the biggest public game bet of the week. Last week, Hochuli was assigned to the AFC West divisional game between the Los Angeles Chargers and the Kansas City Chiefs, which resulted in a 30-24 victory for the road team. Finally, Hochuli is responsible for refereeing between the Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Rams.
Scott Novak has called the most penalties so far this season. Looking back on last season, Novak is another referee where the road teams did well ATS. In fact, the road teams last season were 9-4-1 ATS. This season, the road teams have a 2-1 ATS start. Scott Novak will be assigned to the game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Green Bay Packers.
2021 NFL umpire records
NFL Week 4 umpire assignments