Patriots vs Texans NFL Betting Trends, Stats & Computer Predictions For Week 5

The Houston Texans (1-3) will look to end their three-game losing streak in a Week 5 battle against the New England Patriots (1-3). Texans (+330 on the silver line to win) will host the Patriots (-9.5) October 10, 2021 at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS. A total of points 40 points were set for the competition.

The betting information and predictions in this article reflects DraftKings betting data as of October 4, 2021, 8:50 p.m. ET. See the table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Patriots Vs Texans odds

Computer choice

Computer picks for the Patriots vs. the Texans
ATS choice Upper / lower choice

Texans (+9.5)

Over (40)

The predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm (raw power score) that ranks the results of head-to-head matches within a closed gaming network. The confidence of the predictions is determined by the delta between the raw power score of each team.

Ranking team statistics

Patriots Texans
Disabled. Points per game (Rank) 17.8 (26) 16.8 (27)
Def. Points per game (Rank) 17.5 (7) 29.0 (28)
Disabled. Yards per set (Rank) 5.0 (24) 4.7 (29)
Def. Yards per set (Rank) 4.8 (4) 6.0 (24)
Authorized turnover (Rank) 7 (27) 7 (27)
Forced turnover (Rank) 5 (12) 6 (6)

Patriots betting overview

  • New England have two ATS wins this year.
  • New England have yet to see a game this year.
  • New England and their opponent have accumulated over 40 points just once this year.
  • Patriots games are averaging 44.6 total points per game this season, 4.6 more than the over / under for this game.

Get more NFL betting picks and staff tips from PlayPicks HERE

Texans betting overview

  • Houston has two wins against the spread this year.
  • As a 9.5-point or more favorites, the Texans have an ATS win (1-1) this year.
  • Houston has had two games (of four) topping the total this year.
  • So far this year, three Houston games have scored over 40 points.
  • The Texans’ average game total is 46.5 points, 6.5 more than this game’s over / under.

Patriots players to watch

  • Mac Jones leads New England with 1,012 yards (253.0 yards per game) on 112 of 160 passes with four touchdowns and four interceptions this season. He also has 27 rushing yards in seven carries.
  • Damien Harris carried the ball 49 times for a record 172 rushing yards and found the end zone once as a runner.
  • Jakobi Meyers has 27 receptions for 246 yards (61.5 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. .
  • Kendrick Bourne has caught 14 passes for 181 yards (45.3 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
  • Nelson Agholor had 13 catches for 165 yards, averaging 41.3 yards per game. He has scored once as a receiver this season.
  • Matthew Judon had 4.5 sacks to lead the team, while recording 6.0 TFL and 16 tackles.
  • New England top tackle Kyle Dugger has 21 tackles and 4.0 TFL this year.
  • JC Jackson has two interceptions at the head of the team, 16 tackles and four defended.

Texan players to watch

  • Davis Mills has 357 passing yards, or 89.3 per game, so far this season. He completed 56.7% of his passes and had two touchdowns with five interceptions.
  • The team’s top rusher, Mark Ingram II, carried the ball 52 times for 171 yards (42.8 per game) with a touchdown.
  • David Johnson leads his team with 67 receiving yards (16.8 yards per game) on eight catches and one touchdown while racking up 67 rushing yards in 16 attempts.
  • Brandin Cooks has 28 receptions this season and his tag team total is 369 (92.3 yards per game). He was targeted 39 times and made a hit.
  • Pharaoh Brown has put up a 73-yard season so far. He caught five passes on seven targets.
  • Whitney Mercilus walks the team with 3.0 sacks and also has 4.0 TFL and nine tackles.
  • Christian Kirksey is the team’s best tackle this year. He had 29 tackles, 3.0 TFL and one interception.
  • Justin Reid leads the team with two interceptions, while recording 14 tackles and two defensive passes.

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