SEC Football Betting Preview: Expert Picks for Conference Winner, Win Totals and More
Georgia beat Alabama for the national title last year, but the Crimson Tide got the SEC crown. Georgia lost a lot in the NFL Draft, five defensive players in the first round and a pair of skillful players in the second round. Alabama returns arguably the best offensive player and the best defensive player in the country. That’s why Alabama is the favorite to win the SEC.
According to BetMGM, the Crimson Tide are -140 to win the SEC, which Bama has done eight times since 2009 under Nick Saban. Quarterback Bryce Young, the defending Heisman Trophy winner, has the chance to join Archie Griffin as a two-time winner of the award. On the other side of the ball, Will Anderson could be the No. 1 pick in the draft.
Georgia is far from a long shot, with +150. Texas A&M is +1,600 after securing the No. 1 recruiting class in the nation last cycle and beating Alabama last year at College Station. There is a steep drop in odds after that with Tennessee at +4000 and Arkansas, Kentucky, Florida, Ole Miss and LSU at +5000.
A collection of AthleticismThe college football team has made its picks for the upcoming season. The results of these surveys will be released via six betting previews: ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC and Group of 5/independents.
Odds of winning the 2022 SEC Championship Game
SEC Football Roundtable: Alabama and Georgia lead the way again, but who’s next?
Who will win the 2022 SEC Championship game?
Alabama: unanimous choice
The odds of winning the SEC West
Who will win the SEC West in 2022?
Alabama: unanimous choice
Odds of winning the SEC East
Who will win the SEC East in 2022?
Who is your dark horse choice to win the 2022 SEC Championship game? (odds of 20 to 1 or more))
Total win bets are for the regular season only and do not count conference title games or bowl games.
Alabama over/under 11.5 wins
More (+110): 7
Under (-135): 1
Alabama has the highest win total in the nation. Based on the odds, the defending SEC champions have a nearly 50% chance of going 12-0 in the regular season. The Crimson Tide may host Texas A&M, but plans trips to Texas, Arkansas, Tennessee, LSU and Ole Miss.
Georgia over/under 11 wins
More (-120): 4
Under (+100): 4
Georgia has lost a lot, but remains the heavy favorite in the SEC East. The Bulldogs open with Oregon, but don’t face another preseason top-25 team until Kentucky on Nov. 19. Even the potentially tricky games against Auburn, Florida and Tennessee all take place in Athens.
Texas A&M over/under 8.5 wins
More (-165): 5
Under (+135): 3
The Aggies are considered the main challenger to Alabama-Georgia dominance. However, the win total is a relatively conservative 8.5. A&M hosts Miami in Week 3, which could be a good early indicator of the Aggies’ ability to challenge that top tier of the SEC. A score less than 8-4 or worse would be a distinct disappointment in College Station.
Tennessee over/under 8 wins
More (-105): 3
Under (-115): 5
Ole Miss over/under 7.5 wins
More (-160): 3
Minus (+135): 5
Kentucky over/under 7.5 wins
More (-145): 6
Under (+120): 2
Kentucky was a bit of a breakout team last year and quarterback Will Levis will have his eyes on them all season as the NFL Draft’s top prospect. The Wildcats have just two preseason top-25 teams on the schedule, and the non-conference roster isn’t daunting. After a 9-3 regular season last year, 8-4 or better seems realistic.
Florida over/under 7.5 wins
More (+120): 4
Under (-145): 4
Arkansas over/under 7.5 wins
More (+125): 6
Under (-150): 2
The Razorbacks surpassed that number last year at 8-4 (plus a bowl win over Penn State). Arkansas faces Cincinnati and BYU in non-conference games, so there won’t be many easy games on the schedule.
LSU over/under 6.5 wins
More (-140): 7
Minus (+115): 1
There is some optimism that Brian Kelly’s freshman year will show progress after LSU went 11-12 since winning the national title three seasons ago. The Tigers open with Florida State, but don’t face a top-25 preseason team until Oct. 22 against Ole Miss. Alabama, Arkansas and Texas A&M are on the schedule in November, so the home stretch is brutal, but LSU could have record good health and some confidence before it gets there.
Mississippi State over/under 6.5 wins
More (-125): 4
Under (+105): 4
South Carolina over/under 6.5 wins
More (+115): 0
Under (-140): 8
Will Spencer Rattler make a big difference for South Carolina this year? Our staff says no. The Gamecocks have five games against the top 20 preseason teams (at Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, Texas A&M, Clemson), so to exceed 6.5 wins requires a win in that category or win all other matches.
Auburn over/under 6.5 wins
More (+130): 0
Under (-160): 8
Ouch. No one trusts Auburn after the Bryan Harsin fiasco last year. The Tigers host Penn State in Week 3 and travel to Georgia in October on top of the tough SEC West schedule. It’s not easy to find seven wins in this schedule.
Missouri over/under 5.5 wins
More (+115): 4
Under (-135): 4
Vanderbilt over/under 2.5 wins
More (+105): 6
Under (-125): 2
Who is your top SEC Heisman competitor?
Alabama QB Bryce Young
Jahmyr Gibbs, Alabama RB
Will Anderson, Alabama LB
Young won the award last year, but he’s far from the only contender on his own team. Could Young be suffering from voter fatigue? Anderson was transcendent last season, but defensive players are struggling to get votes from Heisman. Jahmyr Gibbs is a talented transfer from Georgia Tech. Quarterbacks have won 13 of the last 16 Heismans, but the three non-quarterbacks were all from Alabama (Mark Ingram, Derrick Henry, DeVonta Smith).
(Photo by Will Anderson: Gary Cosby Jr./USA Today)